分析：比特币短期换手大幅降温，市场已位于底部附近
BlockBeats 消息，5 月 26 日，分析师 Murphy 表示，通过「短期资金在链上活跃度权重」（即短期筹码换手所承载的美元价值占比）这一链上指标，观察当前 BTC 市场状态。该指标反映最新投机、套利、获利了结或恐慌抛售等短期交易行为。目前这一权重已降至历史极低水平，过去 15 年仅在熊市最底部区域出现过，意味着短期换手大幅降温，经济价值正向长期筹码沉淀，行情处于低波动、蓄势或底部特征明显的阶段。
分析师判断，基于此当前市场可能处于三种阶段之一：熊市底部；次底部，可能还有最后一跌；牛市启动前蓄势。但理性判断下可暂时排除牛前蓄势。目前不建议全仓押注单一情景，建议采用分散仓位策略应对不同结果，长期大方向的相对位置已表明比特币位于底部附近。
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