分析：链上数据显示BTC连跌期间大资金尚未出逃，7.6万美元附近出现承接
BlockBeats 消息，5 月 20 日，分析师 Murphy（@Murphychen888）于社交媒体发文表示，5 月 15 日至 19 日，比特币连续五个交易日下跌。此前一度担心踏空的市场情绪迅速转向，部分投资者开始预期价格将回落至 4 万至 5 万美元区间。
然而，从链上筹码结构来看，大资金的态度呈现出不同图景。根据 5 月 15 日的数据，6.6 万美元和 7.8 万美元是换手最为集中的两个价位，清晰反映了大资金的入场位置。值得注意的是，8 万至 8.2 万美元区间的筹码柱则较为低矮。尽管比特币价格在该区间停留了近一周时间，但换手稀少，表明价格回到 8 万美元上方后，资金开始趋于谨慎。至 5 月 19 日，随着价格下跌，7.8 万美元的筹码柱不仅没有减少，反而有所增加。变化最为明显的是 7.6 万美元这一价位，此前价格突破该位置时，该价位筹码仅约 20 万枚出头，而在此次价格跌回该位置时，筹码已增至约 38 万枚。
分析认为，这表明在 7.8 万美元进场的资金并未因跌破成本而恐慌出逃。当价格跌至 7.6 万美元时，新的资金选择入场承接，显示出明确的态度。
从筹码结构来看，合理的回调区间大致在 78,000 美元至 66,000 美元之间。二次回踩进入该区间并完成换手，有望使结构具备更强的抗打击能力。尽管最终价格低点尚难预判，但从资金在 7.6 万美元附近即开始出手截胡的态度来看，市场下方承接意愿较为明确。
Disclaimer: OKX Orbit content is provided for informational purposes only. Learn more
Replies
Related Flash News
Blockbeats•26s agoThe ETH/BTC exchange rate continues to decline, currently quoted at 0.02713
ChainCatcher•18m ago10x Research: Most Bitcoin treasury companies have significantly compressed their NAV premiums and may enter an era of negative premiums
Blockbeats•1h agoBitcoin has entered a high-risk range, and the continued withdrawal of institutional funds highlights concerns about selling pressure
ChainCatcher•1h agoData: Whales opened $40.26 million in BTC short positions and held $33.3 million in ZEC long positions
Blockbeats•2h agoBitunix Analyst: Hormuz is 'fighting while talking,' and the market is beginning to realize that real uncertainty has never disappeared
ChainCatcher•2h agoThe survey shows that 16% of Brazilian investors have allocated cryptocurrencies, while 56% of non-investors intend to enter the market
Blockbeats•3h agoGlassnode: Decline in active addresses, improved ETF flows, Bitcoin enters a wait-and-see phase
ChainCatcher•3h agoGlobal listed companies hold approximately 1.242 million BTC, a 67% increase compared to a year ago
ChainCatcher•3h agoTrump Media transferred 2,650 BTC to a $405.9 million loss in Crypto.com Q1, with spot Bitcoin ETFs seeing a net outflow of over $2.26 billion over two weeks and IBIT holdings dropping to about 800,000
ChainCatcher•4h agoCathie Wood: Bitcoin base price target for the next 5 years is $750,000, with an optimistic scenario of $1.25 million
