分析：BTC短期持有者成本线死叉形成，市场交易热情骤降
BlockBeats 消息，5 月 27 日，分析师 Murphy 指出，BTC 的短期持有者实现价格（STH-RP）与 TMMP 指标在纠缠近 20 天后，已实质性形成「死叉」形态，即红线正式下穿绿线。从历史规律看死叉一旦形成，BTC 价格往往在较长一段时间内被 STH-RP 红线压制而难以突破，甚至可能创出新低。而当前 STH-RP 红线几乎走成一条直线，说明市场短期活跃度已降至冰点，在这一平均成本线上下两端的筹码均不愿参与换手，与此前关于交易热情骤降的判断一致。
不过与过往周期显著不同的是，此次 STH-RP 下穿斜率几乎为零。斜率越陡峭，意味着高位筹码恐慌割肉的意愿越强，价格突破阻力便越困难；而当前近乎平坦的走势表明抛压并不强烈，上方压制或许不会像历史案例那样难以逾越。尽管如此，STH-RP 仍是判断情绪牛熊的分界线，价格运行于其下方即短期偏空，后续方向仍需交给时间验证。
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