Glassnode:活跃地址下降、ETF流量改善,比特币进入观望阶段

BlockBeats 消息,5 月 26 日,过去一周,比特币价格从 79,000 美元跌至约 74,000 美元的局部低点,随后反弹至 77,000 美元附近,价格动能下降 21.7%,反映价格走势疲软且抛售压力上升。与此同时,现货 CVD 和永续 CVD 分别上升 77.2% 和 35.5%,表明抛售压力正在缓解,市场情绪趋于平衡。市场活跃度也有所降温,现货交易量下降 10%,期货未平仓合约下降 3.5%,显示投机意愿减弱,市场背景更加谨慎。
尽管如此,风险偏好重燃的迹象开始显现。多头资金费率飙升 135.4%,凸显对多头敞口的强劲需求和看涨情绪改善。期权市场方面,25-Delta Skew 小幅走高,表明对下行保护的需求略有增加,而未平仓合约基本稳定,表明头寸仍保持完整。
传统金融市场方面,美国现货 ETF 的 MVRV 上升 0.69%,表明 ETF 持有者的未实现收益略有扩大。同时,ETF 净流量改善 28.9%,资金外流缓解、情绪趋稳,但 ETF 交易量下降 22.9%,投机活动有所放缓。
网络活动方面,每日活跃地址数和经实体调整的转账量小幅减少,暗示市场可能进入盘整阶段或投资者活跃度下降。流动性指标显示流动性状况更趋稳定,市场呈现出更高确信度和更低投机活动的特征。
然而,盈利指标显示市场压力可能增加。净未实现盈亏比显著下降,已实现盈亏比表明亏损兑现超过盈利了结,反映出谨慎且可能偏空的市场情绪。总体而言,市场正呈现缓和与盘整迹象,特点是活动减少、情绪谨慎,并伴有一定风险偏好。这种复杂局面凸显了持续密切关注市场动态和投资者行为的重要性。
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