Lei06

UTC intraday +6%, 24h +22%. But what’s most worth watching today isn’t the increase, it’s the arc line this series has been tracking all along. Latest 10 periods of long position ratio: 56.42% → 61.56% → 55.50% → 54.27% → 50.93% → 56.54% → 57.35% → 57.20% → 60.41% → 60.94% (latest) Last time this series wrote about BILL, it described a W-shaped structure: from the high of 61.56%, it dropped all the way down to 50.93%—just 0.93 percentage points above 50%, almost reaching the long-short equilibrium line, then started to rebound. Today: 60.94%. From 50.93% rebounding to 60.94%, it rose a total of 10 percentage points. Just 0.62 percentage points shy of the previous series high of 61.56%. In plain terms: after the long position ratio hit the bottom, this group regained their confidence, and almost fully recovered it. This is no coincidence. The price rose 22% in 24h today, and the number of longs increased during the price rise—not forced, but actively entering. The question now is: is the previous high of 61.56% the next threshold to break? If the long ratio continues to rise and breaks above 61.56% to a new high, it means the bulls’ confidence is even stronger than at the last peak—usually in this case, the price still has room to grow. If it stops around 61%, just like last time, then it could be another starting point for a downward move. The W-shaped long position arc completed its right side today, just a breath away from matching the previous high—this 0.62 percentage point gap is the most important number to watch in today’s entire BILL story. $BILL

PallasGold Liquid Metal Paint, the opening chapter of Bentley's pure electric era Bentley uses the EXP 15 to start the prologue of its pure electric era. As a preview of the first mass-produced pure electric model in 2026, its inspiration comes from the legendary 1930 Speed Six "Blue Train": the iconic upright grille is reinterpreted with a matrix LED, the brand-new illuminated double-wing badge debuts, and the long hood with a fastback line recreates the classic Grand Tourer posture. The body’s Pallas Gold liquid metal paint contains ultra-thin aluminum pigments, which restore the vintage luster of old car nickel decorations without affecting radar and lidar operation. Inside, it breaks tradition with a three-seat layout—the driver’s seat is centered, the rear single seat is independent, and even a pet cabin is reserved, extending Bentley’s luxury from riding to companionship. It is not a car for mass production, but Bentley’s declaration for the future: In the electric era, elegance never compromises.

VanEck Executive: Bitcoin Expected to Return to All-Time High Within 12 Months On May 10, VanEck Digital Asset Research Director Matthew Sigel stated in an interview with CNBC that he expects Bitcoin to retouch its all-time high within the next 12 months. He pointed out that the current correlation between BTC and the Nasdaq is near a 5-year high, with the resilience of the U.S. stock market driving this rebound. However, the derivatives market still lacks clear optimism; the futures and options markets mainly reflect short covering and hedging demand. Therefore, from a contrarian perspective, the trend may still have room to continue. Matthew Sigel also mentioned that this year, a central bank has announced incorporating Bitcoin into its foreign exchange reserves, indicating that BTC is gradually becoming a global asset used for large cross-border transaction settlements. He believes this is a major trend. Regarding investment direction, he is more optimistic about Bitcoin's market share growth and Bitcoin mining companies benefiting from the AI integration trend. He stated that mining companies are becoming key beneficiaries of AI infrastructure, and as AI business grows, the pressure on miners to sell BTC for funding is decreasing. Additionally, Matthew Sigel believes that if the CLARITY Act passes, it could reignite sentiment in the altcoin market, but currently institutional investors remain cautious about most altcoins due to regulatory and investor protection concerns.

Yesterday, this series wrote about LAB, ending with a sentence: "$5.00, once passed, 71% of the shorts will start worrying about stop-loss." Today, it passed. LAB hit a high of $5.38 today, an absolute new high since this series started tracking LAB. Every time LAB breaks through an integer price level, this series records the same thing: 71% of the short accounts took another step toward losses today. This is not mocking the short sellers. The 71% shorts are not random—they have their own judgments and logic. At specific points in time, their judgment is "this price is too high, it should fall." The problem is, every time this sentence is said, LAB rises further. The number of short sellers hasn’t decreased, but the price keeps pushing their stop-losses closer. This is the structure this series has been tracking: It’s not that the bulls have won, but the shorts haven’t given up yet. The moment they give up is the real acceleration. LAB is $5.12 today, with a high of $5.38—$5.00 held, and the cost of holding it is borne by 71% of the shorts. $5.00 was passed, then $5.38—71% of the shorts’ stop-losses moved one step closer today. $LAB

Old Ma's XChat hasn't been used for so many days, seems like it's useless. Should I still keep it?

[Analysis: Bitcoin May Face Pullback Pressure, Market Sentiment Turns Cautious Ahead of CPI Release] Market analysis points out that with the US April CPI data set to be released on May 12, Bitcoin may face greater pullback pressure. The latest forecast from the Cleveland Fed shows that the overall US April CPI year-over-year may rise to 3.56%, higher than March's 3.3%, which could further reinforce market expectations that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut rates in the short term, thereby suppressing risk assets like Bitcoin. The analysis states that although Bitcoin remained strong after several previous inflation data releases that exceeded expectations, current market support has weakened compared to before. Especially after Strategy paused Bitcoin purchases, institutional absorption capacity for new Bitcoin supply has declined, and market sensitivity to CPI data may rise again. Technically, Bitcoin's daily chart is forming a classic "rising wedge" pattern. If the price breaks below the key support level around $84,000, it may further test near $70,000; if it successfully breaks above the 200-day moving average resistance, it could open an upward space between $90,000 and $95,000. $BTC

Today, an on-chain data firm called Santiment made a somewhat unsettling observation: The bullish voices for BTC on social media are soaring today. But BTC itself remains motionless. BTC is at $80,787 today, with a 24h range of less than $1,000, making it one of the quietest days recently. Santiment's conclusion: this rally might be temporary. The logic is straightforward. You bought BTC at $70K, now it's $80K, what do you do? If you plan to hold, you don’t need to post anything; you just wait. If you start saying on social media, "BTC is going to $100K!", one possibility is you’re pumping yourself up, another is you’re trying to find someone to take the bag for you—whether consciously or not, both are true. When bullish voices multiply, there are two explanations: One is: many newcomers haven’t entered yet, and these voices are recruiting them—meaning the rally still has fuel. The other is: most who want to enter already have, and the remaining "bullish voices" are just those already in, cheering each other on—so where is the new buying pressure? Santiment’s concern today is the second scenario. Market sluggishness itself is a signal. A market genuinely brewing a big rally isn’t this quiet. BTC at $80K moved only 0.14% intraday UTC, with a 24h range shorter than the length of the Shanghai subway—this isn’t storing energy, it’s waiting for someone to make a decision. Waiting for whom to decide? Waiting for those hovering around $80K to finally choose "in" or "out". The louder the calls, the more cautious the steps—this is what Santiment is saying today, and BTC’s standstill at $80K confirms it. $BTC

Being an official isn't easy, can't even play a game. Now I can go home and play with peace of mind.

Transparent stair corridor. With this design, who would dare to wear a skirt? 😳

LAB today $4.927, UTC intraday +4.88%, 24h +15.24%, high touched $5.077. First, let's talk about the most peculiar numerical pattern tracking LAB in this series: Long-short ratio latest 10 periods curve: 27.13% → 26.90% → 27.78% → 28.48% → 29.21% → 29.70% → 28.53% → 29.33% → 29.21% → 28.76% (latest) Short positions 71.24% — still the most extreme short target in this series. But Taker: 1.0803 → 0.9974 → 1.0407 → 1.3390 → 1.2210 → 1.1452 → 1.1909 → 1.1635 → 1.0944 → 1.1252 (latest) 9 out of 10 periods exceed 1.0. Only the 2nd period (0.9974) is slightly below 1.0, the rest are all active buyers sweeping orders. The 4th period was the most aggressive: 1.3390 — in that period, buyers were 33.9% more active than sellers. This is the longest continuous stretch of Taker exceeding 1.0 since this series started tracking LAB. On the OI side: Open Interest contract volume 10-period high 23,055,896 Open Interest USD 10-period high $109.52M Implied average entry price ≈ $109.52M ÷ 23,055,896 ≈ $4.751, current price $4.927 Short accounts (71.24%) entered around $4.75, currently floating loss about -3.7% today. Long accounts (28.76%) entered around $4.75, currently floating profit about +3.7% today. The contradiction lies here: 71% of accounts chose to short, but the active order sweeping has always been by buyers — indicating shorts are passive limit orders, longs are actively attacking. More passive people, but the active ones are fierce. Long logic: Taker exceeded 1.0 for 9 consecutive periods, buyers are not passively accepting but actively chasing — momentum is on the long side. 71% shorts = 71% potential forced short covering power, once price continues upward, short stop losses will accelerate the rally. Entry: $4.75-$4.85 pullback (near implied average price support) Targets: $5.20 / $5.50 Stop loss: $4.40 (below 24h low $4.087 with buffer zone) Short logic: 71% short accounts are not without reason — $5.077 high was rejected once, $5.00 is a psychological resistance, short-term +15% gain, profit-taking demand exists. Entry: $5.00-$5.10 rebound resistance zone short Targets: $4.50 / $4.20 Stop loss: $5.30 valid breakout Most dangerous move today: naked short near $5.00. Short accounts are the majority, but Taker has continuously told you for 9 periods that the active attackers are not shorts. Until Taker reverses, every naked short is walking straight into a sustained 9-period active buyer sweep. Fear & Greed: 47 (Neutral) LAB's contradiction today: 71% accounts short, but Taker 9/10 periods exceed 1.0, buyers active; $5.00 is key — if broken, short covering accelerates; if not, short-term accumulated longs face profit-taking pressure. $LAB