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Alex E
Alex E
BTC is currently trapped in a weekly uptrend oscillation, having entered a prior accumulation zone but failing to break it effectively. The price is locked in a tug-of-war, and the broader descending wedge pattern remains intact. This creates a prime vantage point for assessing a potential medium-to-long-term bearish shift. 📉 On the daily chart, the MA200 line has been tested for the first time after 188 days of correction. Historical precedent suggests that the first touch of this major resistance is rarely broken cleanly. Price has printed a new high, but the MACD has failed to follow suit, forming a clear bearish divergence. This signals waning bullish momentum. 📉 Adding to the concern, trading volume has been steadily declining during this rally, a classic sign of an unhealthy recovery and weak buyer conviction. The key defense level to watch is the 79,200 correction low. As long as this floor holds, buyers retain the upper hand. A decisive breakdown below this level, however, would confirm the bearish trend and open the door for short-side positioning. 🛡️ Zooming into the hourly chart, the market is stuck in a narrow, erratic range. Price action is random and disorderly, making traditional technical analysis unreliable for pinpointing the next move. With liquidity drying up, large players can manipulate price with minimal capital, increasing the risk of sudden, engineered moves. ⚡ The broader crypto market is suffering from low trading volume, reduced activity, and shrinking volatility, making trading increasingly difficult. Capital continues to flow into U.S. equity markets, which now offer direct USDT-to-stock trading channels, further draining crypto liquidity. 💸 The 82,000 resistance level remains a viable zone for short entries, with a stop-loss placed at the 82,800 previous high. 🚫

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