#USAprilCPITonight

Core CPI Behaved. Headline Didn't. Now Rate Cuts Are Someone Else's Problem. March CPI just dropped: 3.3% annual. Gasoline up 21.2%, accounting for nearly three-quarters of the monthly jump. The culprit is obvious. But the buried number is actually the interesting one: core CPI came in at 0.2% for the month, 0.1 percentage point below forecast. Underlying inflation is cooling. Energy inflation is not. Here's the bind the Fed is in. They target core PCE, not headline CPI. By that metric, inflation is behaving. But cutting rates into a 3.3% headline print, with a mined Strait of Hormuz still shut and no deal in Islamabad yet, is practically and politically impossible. The dot plot already shows one cut projected for all of 2026. That number is now looking optimistic. For crypto, the setup is familiar and frustrating. Bitcoin is at $72K in extreme fear territory. The cool core print gave a brief bounce. It didn't hold, because the market knows what it means: restrictive policy isn't going anywhere while energy prices are being set by geopolitics, not economics. Rate cuts, which were supposed to provide the fuel for the next leg up, are fading into Q4 at best. The uncomfortable read: the Fed's preferred measure says inflation is under control. The war's preferred measure says it isn't. Until the Strait reopens or diplomacy delivers, the headline number is the one that matters for rate decisions. Core CPI did its job. Did anyone notice? #CPIInRateCutsFade

$BTC is down 3.39% to $70,901.79 in 24h, closely tracking a 3% drop in the total crypto market, $76.74 million in BTC liquidations (91% longs) forcing rapid selling pressure. 📑 Reason: - a cascade of leveraged long liquidations amid heightened geopolitical risk - U.S -Iran tensions triggered a broad risk-off sentiment 👉 Prediction: If BTC holds above the $71,325 Fibonacci support, a rebound toward $72,220 is possible; a break below risks a test of $70,000 ⚡Scalping H1 [13rd April 2026] 🌠Short Entry: 70.9k – 71.3k SL: >71.8k TP1: 70k TP2: 69.3k 🌠Long Entry: 69.8k – 70.1k SL: <69.5k TP1: 70.6k TP2: 71k ❌ Do avoid - Shorting at 70.64k (current price) - Longing breakout at 71k - Fomo #USIranTalksStalled #SpaceXBitcoinHoard #CPIInRateCutsFade @OKX Orbit @OKX中文 @Michelle_OKX $ETH $RAVE $ZEC $TON $XAUT $CL $MON

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Yesterday was all about Hormuz panic. Today, the market flipped. The shift came from CPI data: • Headline CPI: 3.3% • Core CPI: 2.6% (below expectations) Markets care about core, not headline. 👉 Lower core inflation → less pressure on the Fed → risk assets rebound. Bitcoin reacted immediately: • Bounced from ~$70.5K to above $74K • Recovered most of the geopolitical drop Ethereum and Solana followed. Sentiment snapped back fast Fear & Greed Index: • Jumped from 43 to 54 in a single session This is not euphoria. It is relief after stress. Flows and catalysts • $1.1B inflows into crypto funds last week • Aave passed a $25M governance proposal • CLARITY Act roundtable coming on April 16 If regulation moves forward, assets like $XRP , $ETH , and $SOL could benefit. Bottom line • Geopolitical fear faded quickly • Core CPI supports the market • Capital is still flowing in • Confidence is improving, but fragile This is a recovery phase, not a confirmed breakout. #InstitutionsBuyBtcTo74K #DailyOrbit #CPIInRateCutsFade

🚨 BREAKING: MARKETS BRACE FOR PPI “STORM” FROM THE FED 🇺🇸 The entire market is holding its breath ahead of the PPI (Producer Price Index) release at 8:30 AM (US time) — a data point that could flip short-term market direction within minutes. 📊 3 scenarios to prepare for: 🔺 PPI > 0.8%: Inflation heats up again → expectations of a more hawkish Fed → Market likely to see high volatility, possible spike then sharp sell-off ⚖️ PPI 0.7% – 0.8%: In line with expectations → Price action may move sideways, choppy and hard to trade 🔻 PPI < 0.7%: Inflation pressure cools down → Risk-on sentiment returns → potential for a strong upside move 💡 Note: Don’t just focus on the number — watch how price reacts after the release, that’s what really determines the trade. ⚠️ Advice: Expect extreme volatility today. Manage your risk carefully and stay strapped in before the “storm” hits. #InstitutionsBuyBtcTo74K #CPIInRateCutsFade #CoinMoveAlert @OKX Orbit @OKX中文 $BTC $ETH $RAVE

🆘🚨 BREAKING NEWS !!! ⚡ 📉 FED HOLDS RATES AT 3.50%-3.75% – POWELL’S FINAL MEETING ENDS WITH BIGGEST DISSENT IN OVER 30 YEARS Decision: Federal Reserve kept the target rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, in line with expectations and marking the third consecutive hold. Voting Split: 8-4 decision, the most divided since October 1992. Governor Milan dissented in favor of a 25bps cut. Harker, Kashkari, and Logan also opposed the lack of easing language. FOMC Statement: Acknowledged increased economic uncertainty from the Middle East situation. Job growth remains modest, unemployment stable. Historic Context: Powell’s final FOMC meeting as Chair. Powell’s era ends with notable internal division. Maintaining higher rates amid geopolitical risks signals continued caution on inflation. Markets now shift focus to the post-Powell era and potential policy shifts ahead. $XAU $BTC $CL #PowellFinalFOMC #CPIInRateCutsFade

U.S. March PCE Inflation Report — Heat Is Back Headline PCE (Y/Y): 3.5% (in line with forecast, up from 2.8%) Headline PCE (M/M): 0.7% (in line, up from 0.4%) Core PCE (Y/Y): 3.2% (in line, up from 3.0%) Core PCE (M/M): 0.3% (in line, slightly down from 0.4%) In the very first month following the escalation of the Iran conflict, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge has surged to its highest level in years Headline PCE climbed to 3.5%, marking its highest reading since August 2023. Meanwhile, Core PCE — which strips out volatile food and energy prices — rose to 3.2%, the highest since November 2023 #FedApril4Dissents #CPIInRateCutsFade $BTC $ETH $SOL $XRP

📰 $BTC News Impact — May 12, 2026 Price: $81,237 | Bulls vs Bears tug-of-war at key resistance 🔴 Bearish Catalysts: 1. Saylor breaks "never sell" narrative Strategy reported a $12.54B Q1 loss while holding 818,334 BTC. Saylor suggested selling some BTC to fund $1.5B in annual dividend obligations. However, he clarified Strategy would buy "10 to 20" BTC for every one it sells. CoinDeskThe Block 2. Iran tensions resurface BTC surged from $80,700 to $82,400 before reversing as Iran tensions boosted oil and the dollar, pressuring crypto. CoinDesk 🟢 Bullish Catalysts: 1. Strong ETF inflows Bitcoin funds captured $700M as institutions place their bets. Morgan Stanley's BTC ETF drew $194M early inflows. CoinDeskCoinMarketCap 2. National BTC Reserve incoming The White House will announce a national Bitcoin reserve "in the next few weeks" — major catalyst. Investing.com 3. Strategy still buying Strategy added 535 BTC for $43M, total near 819,000 BTC. CoinDesk 4. Bullish on-chain Funding rates flipped neutral; dealers short gamma around $82K can force buying as price rises — pointing toward $85K. CoinDesk 📅 Key Week Ahead May 14: U.S. Senate hearing on Digital Asset Clarity Act. May 15: Powell's Fed term ends. CPI/PPI + Coinbase earnings due. CoinMarketCap 💡 Market Impact BTC stuck at $81K because of the tug-of-war: Saylor's shift = psychological blow Iran flare-up = risk-off, dollar bid ETF demand + Reserve hopes = strong floor Net bias: Mildly bullish if $80K holds. High volatility week ahead (Clarity Act, Powell exit, CPI). 🛡 Not financial advice — DYOR. #USAprilCPITonight #WarshTakesFedChair #CLARITYActMay14Vote #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoNews #BTCUSDT

long $imx sl 0.135 #USIranTalksStalled #SpaceXBitcoinHoard #CPIInRateCutsFade

$RAVE Spot Trade Setup Current Price : ~$4.80 – $5.30 (up ~130-160% in 24h, new ATH near $5.60+) Bullish Momentum Setup - Entry : Wait for pullback to $4.20 – $4.50 zone + bullish candle bounce (15m/1h) - Stop Loss : Below $3.90 (~10-15% risk) - Targets: $5.80 (T1) → $6.50+ (T2) — trail stops on runners High volatility parabolic move. Small position only (max 1% portfolio risk). Don't chase tops. Invalidation: Break & close below $3.90 flips bearish. Not financial advice. DYOR, use live charts, trade safe. $OFC $BASED $KAT #USIranTalksStalled #SpaceXBitcoinHoard #CPIInRateCutsFade

19:30 (GMT+7) – U.S. CPI Release Markets are now bracing for one of the most critical macro prints of the month, with inflation expectations still sitting above the Fed’s comfort zone Forecast vs Previous: Headline CPI YoY: 3.7% (prev. 3.3%) Expected re-acceleration in overall inflation, signaling persistent price pressure in the broader economy Core CPI YoY: 2.6% (prev. 2.6%) Stable core reading suggests underlying inflation remains sticky but not worsening further Market implication: Any upside surprise in CPI could quickly reprice rate-cut expectations and trigger volatility across $BTC, equities, and risk assets, while a soft print may fuel relief rally narratives #DailyOrbit #USAprilCPITonight #WarshTakesFedChair $BTC $ETH $SOL $XRP

⚡ 📉 GOLD SURGES TO $4,630/OZ- USD/JPY PLUNGES TO 159.79 – AMID HIGH GEOPOLITICAL RISK 🪙💵 USD/JPY: Sharp drop of 80 pips in short time, hitting low at 159.79. Gold: Spot price jumped to $4,630/ounce, up 1.25% intraday. Context: Both moves reflect strong safe-haven demand amid escalating US-Iran tensions and global oil supply risks. Strong Yen and record gold highlight clear “risk-off” sentiment. Investors fear prolonged conflict and energy-driven inflation, pressuring USD while boosting traditional safe havens. $XAU $XAUT $XAG #USIranLongTermBlockade #CPIInRateCutsFade #FedApril4Dissents

⚡ 📉 FED HOLDS RATES AT 3.50%-3.75% – POWELL’S FINAL MEETING ENDS WITH BIGGEST DISSENT IN OVER 30 YEARS Rates Unchanged – As Expected: Maintained target at 3.50%-3.75%, perfectly in line with market expectations, avoiding immediate volatility. Steady Growth but Cooling Labor Market: Economy remains on track, yet weakening job gains and stable unemployment signal the labor cycle is cooling. Energy-Driven Inflation: Price pressures mainly from global energy costs (cost-push), reducing monetary policy effectiveness. Rising Geopolitical Risks: Middle East tensions highlighted as major uncertainty, increasing risks of prolonged inflation. Policy Outlook: Mild easing bias but deeply divided (8-4 vote). Governor Milan dissented for a 25bps cut; others opposed dovish language. Powell ends his tenure with a cautious but notably split decision. The Fed is at a crossroads — balancing energy inflation risks with slowing growth signals. Markets now face heightened uncertainty as leadership transition begins. $BTC $XAU $QQQ #PowellFinalFOMC #CPIInRateCutsFade #FirstCryptoFedChair

Apr 30 – 7:30 PM: The U.S. will release a pair of high-impact macro indicators that could significantly shape market expectations. The first estimate of Q1 GDP is forecast at 2.2%, a sharp rebound from the previous 0.5%, signaling a potential acceleration in economic growth. At the same time, March PCE inflation — the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge — is expected at 3.3%, up from 2.8% previously, keeping inflation concerns firmly in focus. Together, these two data points will be closely watched for clues on the Fed’s next policy direction and overall macro risk sentiment #DailyOrbit #CPIInRateCutsFade $BTC $ETH $SOL $XRP

$XAU Markets Are Placing Odds of Fed Interest Rate Cuts in 2026 at Only 24.8% Data from Kashi has just revealed a bleak picture for expectations of monetary easing this year. 🔸 The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates once (25 basis points) in 2026 is only 24.8%, a low figure indicating that confidence in easing policy is very fragile. 🔸 Meanwhile, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged is as high as 40.9%, overwhelmingly dominant. The probability of two cuts (a total of 50 basis points) is only 17%. With the market increasingly leaning towards the "higher for longer" scenario, should you prepare for a prolonged high-interest rate environment, or still expect a surprise reversal from the Fed in the second half of the year? News is for reference, not investment advice. Please read carefully before making a decision#CPIInRateCutsFade #USIranBlockadeOilHit149 #OKXOrbitTopics $CL $ETH

⚡ 🔴 TRUMP BLASTS POWELL AS “TOO LATE” – SAYS HE WANTS TO STAY AT FED BECAUSE HE CAN’T GET ANOTHER JOB • Latest Remark: President Trump stated that Jerome Powell wants to remain at the Fed because it’s “too late” and he can’t find another job — “nobody wants him.” • Context: The comment came right after Powell’s final FOMC meeting, where the Fed held rates amid notable internal division. • Implication: Trump continues his sharp public criticism of the Fed Chair, signaling deep dissatisfaction with Powell’s leadership. This is one of Trump’s most direct and personal attacks on Powell yet. By openly saying “nobody wants him,” the relationship between the two has reached a new low. As Powell’s term nears its end, Trump is clearly preparing the ground for a leadership change at the Fed aligned with his vision. $BTC $XAU $QQQ #PowellFinalFOMC #FirstCryptoFedChair #CPIInRateCutsFade

⚡ SUMMARY: NEW FED CHAIR TRANSITION AND THE "MARKET CURSE" 🏦📉⚠️ • 🏛️ Leadership Swap: Jerome Powell’s term ends May 15, 2026. Nominee Kevin Warsh is set to take over amid high-stakes economic uncertainty. • 📉 Historic Slump: Since 1930, markets have dropped an average of 16% during a new Chair's first 6 months as investors "test" the new leadership. • ⚠️ Volatility Risks: A shift in Fed policy under Warsh, combined with "Sell in May" sentiment, could trigger a sharp market correction. • 🛡️ Takeaway: Risk is not yet fully priced in. Prepare for rapid shifts in market narrative and liquidity. $BTC $XAU $QQQ #FirstCryptoFedChair #CPIInRateCutsFade

⚡ ANALYSIS: WILL BITCOIN HIT $500K DRIVEN BY FED'S "MONEY PRINTER"? 🖨️💵🚀 Arthur Hayes’ Thesis: The BitMEX founder argues that Bitcoin won't see a massive surge until the Fed is forced to inject liquidity to fix balance sheet gaps. He believes AI is displacing white-collar jobs, leading to consumer credit defaults that will ultimately trigger a Fed bailout. 🏛️ Aggressive Price Targets: Hayes predicts BTC will hit $150,000 - $200,000 by Summer 2026, reach $500,000 by year-end, and climb to $1 million by 2028. 📈 MicroStrategy’s Relentless Accumulation: Michael Saylor revealed a fresh $2.54 billion purchase of 34,164 BTC. As of April 19, 2026, the firm holds a staggering 815,061 BTC at an average cost of $75,527. 🐋 The $10 Million Vision: Saylor anticipates a "non-linear revaluation" driven by corporate and ETF buying. If MicroStrategy manages to hold 7.5% of the total supply, his long-term price target sits at $10 million per coin. 💎 Hayes is waiting for the "money printer" to go brrr, while Saylor is quietly vacuuming up every Bitcoin in sight. One bets on the fragility of the legacy system; the other bets on absolute digital scarcity. With over $60 billion already deployed by Saylor, $500k or $1M targets don't seem like sci-fi anymore—it’s just a matter of when the Fed is forced to open the liquidity floodgates again! #MicroStrategy $BTC $ETH $QQQ #DailyOrbit #CreatorRewards #CPIInRateCutsFade

$TON @Dictator ⚡️People own corporations, people who have concentrated world capital in their hands. ⚡️Usurped power, usurped capital, usurped the benefits and heritage of all mankind, it is they who destroy man in man and sow the seeds of discord between people so that people cannot unite. #USIranTalksStalled #SpaceXBitcoinHoard #CPIInRateCutsFade

MARA sold 15K+ BTC, Riot 3.7K BTC, Cango 2K BTC, Bitdeer down to zero. There is something suspicious about the market right now. $BTC $OFC $KAT #USIranTalksStalled #SpaceXBitcoinHoard #CPIInRateCutsFade

Donald Trump is pushing for a hardline move—threatening 50% tariffs on any country supplying weapons to Iran, with specific warnings aimed at China. Here’s a clean paraphrase of your statement: Rising geopolitical tensions are converging—conflict, aggressive tariffs, and energy risks are all escalating at once, pointing toward a potentially volatile global phase.#USIranTalksStalled #CPIInRateCutsFade #DailyOrbit $TRUMP